Brasileiro | Gameweek 9

Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Flamengo

Fernandinho (90+2' pen.)
Pablo (90+7'), Madson (90+11'), Linck (90+12'), Zapelli (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+9')
Hugo (50'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (87'), Bruno (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 3-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Gremio
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
40.3% ( -0.29)	25.54% ( -0.05)	34.16% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

0.27)

48.4% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

0.25)

70.54% (

-0.25)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.02)

23.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08% (

-0.04)

57.92% (

0.04)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

0.33)

27.18% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

0.43)

62.59% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 40.3%

Flamengo 34.16%

Draw 25.54%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.3%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.16%