MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 02:54:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 1
Criciuma

Mastriani (22', 55'), Cuello (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barreto (8')
Eder (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Criciuma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Criciuma 2-5 Cuiaba
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 3-0 Criciuma

Conceding five goals to a team that had not even registered once in their first six 2024 league matches is surely a harbinger of doom for Criciuma against a Paranaense side needing to right a few wrongs on Thursday. The hosts may have lost a couple of key players to Copa America call-ups, but as Cuca's men almost always produce the goods at home, they ought to have no trouble pulling themselves out of their rut and prolonging Criciuma's dismal sequence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCriciuma
72.69% (0.113 0.11) 17.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 10.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)43.27% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)65.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)10.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.9% (0.034000000000006 0.03)34.1% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.42% (-0.176 -0.18)49.58% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.63% (-0.125 -0.13)84.37% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 72.67%
    Criciuma 10.02%
    Draw 17.3%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCriciuma
2-0 @ 13.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.94% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.61% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 72.67%
1-1 @ 8.22% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 17.3%
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 10.02%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Criciuma

Athletico Paranaense
Draw
Criciuma
Athletico Paranaense
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Criciuma
0.0%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1JuventudeJuventude11002023
2FortalezaFortaleza11002023
3Cruzeiro11002113
4Vasco da GamaVasco11002113
5Gremio11002113
6BragantinoBragantino10102201
7CearaCeara10102201
8Corinthians10101101
9InternacionalInternacional10101101
10Bahia10101101
11FlamengoFlamengo10101101
12PalmeirasPalmeiras10100001
13Sao Paulo10100001
14Botafogo10100001
15Sport RecifeSport10100001
16Atletico Mineiro100112-10
17SantosSantos100112-10
18Mirassol100112-10
19Fluminense100102-20
20Vitoria100102-20


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