Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
35.01% ( -0.33)	26.84% ( 0.05)	38.16% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

-0.22)

53.77% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.18)

75.24% (

0.18)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

-0.31)

29.26% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

-0.38)

65.23% (

0.38)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.06)

27.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

0.08)

62.85% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 35.01%

Bahia 38.15%

Draw 26.83%

Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.15%