Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 28, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Criciuma

Alisson (1', 2'), Luciano (22', 22')
Zubeldia (19'), Zubeldia (19'), Ronald (26'), Ronald (27'), Araujo da Costa Junior (60'), Araujo da Costa Junior (61')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Arthur (90+2', 90+3')
Gabriel (14'), Gabriel (14'), Ronald (21'), Ronald (21'), Arboleda (34'), Arboleda (35'), Luciano (79'), Luciano (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Criciuma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Criciuma

All competitions
Last Game: Criciuma 2-1 Botafogo
Saturday, June 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCriciuma
70.59% (0.033999999999992 0.03)18.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)10.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (0.037999999999997 0.04)46.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.035 0.04)69.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.019999999999996 0.02)12.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.49% (0.044999999999995 0.04)37.51% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)84.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 70.58%
    Criciuma 10.79%
    Draw 18.62%
Sao PauloDrawCriciuma
2-0 @ 13.59%
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.08% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 70.58%
1-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 10.79%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Criciuma

Sao Paulo
56.0%
Draw
24.0%
Criciuma
20.0%
25