Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Botafogo
27.95% ( 0)	27.04% ( 0.04)	45.01% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.17% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.37% (

-0.12)

56.63% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.4% (

-0.09)

77.6% (

0.1)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.27% (

-0.06)

35.73% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.5% (

-0.06)

72.5% (

0.06)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.07)

25.06% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

-0.1)

59.74% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 27.95%

Botafogo 45.01%

Draw 27.03%

Criciuma	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.95%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.01%