Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
Athletico Paranaense

Botafogo
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Bastos (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mastriani (53')
Erick (42'), Christian (77'), Esquivel (77'), Pablo (86'), Santana (90+1'), Santana (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Botafogo
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
42.78% (0.615 0.62)27.71% (0.052 0.05)29.51% (-0.665 -0.66)
Both teams to score 47.1% (-0.442 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (-0.413 -0.41)58.41% (0.415 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.324 -0.32)79.01% (0.327 0.33)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.136 0.14)27.02% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.176 0.18)62.38% (-0.173 -0.17)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)35.46% (0.728 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (-0.759 -0.76)72.22% (0.762 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 42.77%
    Athletico Paranaense 29.51%
    Draw 27.71%
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 29.51%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Athletico PR

Botafogo
47.8%
Draw
39.1%
Athletico Paranaense
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
Botafogo
1-1
Athletico PR
Tiquinho (24')
Eduardo (49'), Victor (75')
Pablo (41')
Rocha (38')
Jun 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
Athletico PR
1-0
Botafogo
Santana (42')
Santana (37'), Henrique (76'), Terans (79')

Kayque (90+5'), Da Silva (90+7')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
1-0
Athletico PR
(Aggregate 0-0 | Athletico PR win 4-2 on penalties)
Tiquinho (17')
Cuesta (7'), Hugo (85')

Fernando (45+1'), Henrique (77'), Erick (89')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Athletico PR
3-0
Botafogo
Adryelson (52' og.), Roque (62'), Erick (90+5')
Jul 24, 2022 1am
Gameweek 19
Botafogo
2-0
Athletico PR
Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')
> Preview