Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Sao Paulo
48.2% ( -0.01)	26.08% ( 0)	25.72%

Both teams to score 49.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

-0.02)

54.38% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24% (

-0.02)

75.76% (

0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

-0.01)

22.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82% (

-0.02)

56.18% (

0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

-0.01)

36.36% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86% (

-0.01)

73.14% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 48.2%

Sao Paulo 25.72%

Draw 26.08%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.2%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.72%