Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.