Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
32.14% ( 0.16)	27.83% ( 0.09)	40.02% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

-0.3)

58.05% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

-0.23)

78.73% (

0.23)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.67% (

-0.04)

33.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.05% (

-0.04)

69.95% (

0.04)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.64% (

-0.29)

28.36% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.9% (

-0.36)

64.1% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 32.14%

Athletico Paranaense 40.02%

Draw 27.82%

Vitoria	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.14%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.02%