Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Bragantino

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Bragantino

Silva (66', 66'), Luciano (90', 90')
Arboleda (69'), Arboleda (69'), Rato (90+6'), Rato (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sasha (44'), Sasha (44'), Lincoln (88'), Lincoln (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBragantino
49.42% (0.066000000000003 0.07)25.91% (0.053000000000001 0.05)24.68% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.289 -0.29)54.5% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.243 -0.24)75.85% (0.247 0.25)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)22.09% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.138 -0.14)55.44% (0.141 0.14)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.264 -0.26)37.33% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.261 -0.26)74.12% (0.26400000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 49.42%
    Bragantino 24.68%
    Draw 25.9%
Sao PauloDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.68%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Bragantino

Sao Paulo
61.5%
Draw
30.8%
Bragantino
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 33
Sao Paulo
1-0
Bragantino
Erison (90+3' pen.)
Juan (34'), Neves (77')

Helinho (40'), Evangelista (65')
Jul 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Bragantino
0-0
Sao Paulo
Vitinho (31'), Capixaba (90+4')
Paulo (39'), Mendes (66')
Aug 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Sao Paulo
3-0
Bragantino
Nestor (25'), Calleri (59'), Vinicius (61')
Miranda (31')
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bragantino
1-1
Sao Paulo
Alerrandro (1')
Realpe (56'), Silva (58'), Hyoran (79'), Eduardo (87'), Ramon (90+7')
Eder (70')
Diego (58'), Eder (90')
Oct 24, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Bragantino
1-0
Sao Paulo
Candido (57')
Helinho (40'), Jadsom (78'), Bruno (90+5')