Brasileiro | Gameweek 14

Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 4
Flamengo

Hulk (57' pen., 57' pen., 90', 90')
Helberth Pereira Junior (49'), Helberth Pereira Junior (49'), Vitor Monteiro (62'), Vitor Monteiro (62'), Battaglia (71'), Battaglia (71')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Henrique (14', 14', 68', 68'), Moises de Lima (24', 24'), Lucas (51', 51')
Henrique (41'), Henrique (41'), Lucas (52'), Lucas (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
31.94% ( 0.01)	25.41% ( 0.01)	42.66% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

-0.02)

48.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

-0.02)

70.56% (

0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

-0.01)

28.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

-0.01)

64.4% (

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.02)

22.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

-0.02)

56.24% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 31.94%

Flamengo 42.66%

Draw 25.4%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.94%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.66%