Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Angel Romero 54' goal
  • Angel Romero 54' goal
  • Caca 62' goal
  • Caca 62' goal
  • Raniele 67' yellowcard
  • Raniele 67' yellowcard
  • goal Claudinho 41'
  • goal Claudinho 41'

Corinthians vs Criciuma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 10, 2024 11.00pm
Vasco 2 - 0 Corinthians
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Criciuma

All competitions
Last game
Jul 12, 2024 12.00am
Criciuma 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Yannick Bolasie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.

Result

Corinthians 60.11% (-1.42)
Draw 22.67% (+0.44)
Criciuma 17.22% (+0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.88% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.66% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 50.34% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 27.72% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 72.28% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 13.12% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 86.88% (+0.12)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 83.65% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 16.35% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 54.03% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 45.97% (+1.00)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5 57.24% (+1.13)
Under 0.5 42.76% (-1.13)
Over 1.5 20.92% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 79.09% (-0.94)

Score analysis

Corinthians 60.11%
Draw 22.66%
Criciuma 17.22%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 11.46% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.22)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 60.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 6.99% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.14% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.66%
Criciuma
0-1 @ 5.94% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 4.57% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 2.52% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.29% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.17% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 17.22%