Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Criciuma
60.11% ( -1.41)	22.67% ( 0.44)	17.22% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 47.88% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66% (

-0.19)

50.34% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72% (

-0.17)

72.28% (

0.18)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65% (

-0.54)

16.35% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.03% (

-0.99)

45.97% (

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.24% (

1.13)

42.76% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.92% (

0.94)

79.09% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 60.11%

Criciuma 17.22%

Draw 22.66%

Corinthians	Draw	Criciuma
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 60.11%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 17.22%