Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Corinthians

Vasco
2 - 0
Corinthians

Piton (55'), Sforza (90+5')
David (3'), Maicon (32'), Lopes Ferreira (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (28'), Torres (45+1'), Coronado (82'), Giovane (83'), Raul (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
44.72% (0.055 0.05)26.8% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.424 -0.42)55.49% (0.426 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-0.347 -0.35)76.67% (0.349 0.35)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.161 -0.16)24.7% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.226 -0.23)59.24% (0.229 0.23)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (-0.339 -0.34)34.69% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (-0.359 -0.36)71.42% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.72%
    Corinthians 28.48%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 28.48%

How you voted: Vasco vs Corinthians

Vasco da Gama
66.7%
Draw
30.6%
Corinthians
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 36
Vasco
2-4
Corinthians
Luis Rodriguez (3'), Vegetti (25')
Capasso (68'), Piton (76'), Vegetti (90+8')
Romero (13', 45'), Moscardo (61'), Giovane (90+4')
Alberto (68'), Miguel (90+5')
Jul 29, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 17
Corinthians
3-1
Vasco
Maycon (19'), Alberto (62'), Guedes (73' pen.)
Caetano (8'), Vera (90+4')
Pec (71')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
0-0
Vasco
Fagner (31')
Magno (31'), Junior (86')
Oct 22, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-2
Corinthians
Ribamar (73')
Castan (26')
Mantuan (23'), Henrique (90' og.)
Ederson (45+1'), Cantillo (59')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
1-0
Vasco
Ralf (59')
Boselli (45'), Jadson (73'), Cassio (94')

Raul (27'), Bruno (46'), Castan (68'), Pikachu (69'), Danilo (94')