Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 29, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Botafogo logo

Vasco
1 - 1
Botafogo

Vegetti (84')
Luis (34'), Moura (40'), Victor (77'), de Paula (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bastos (73')
Bastos (45+1'), Fernandez Torres (45+2'), Santos (59'), Suarez (89'), de Paula (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Botafogo

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawBotafogo
32.5% (0.245 0.24)26.97% (0.132 0.13)40.54% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.45% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-0.455 -0.45)54.7% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.377 -0.38)76.02% (0.378 0.38)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)31.36% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)67.73% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.411 -0.41)26.5% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.55 -0.55)61.69% (0.549 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 32.5%
    Botafogo 40.53%
    Draw 26.96%
Vasco da GamaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.152 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.53%

How you voted: Vasco vs Botafogo

Vasco da Gama
12.8%
Draw
17.9%
Botafogo
69.2%
39
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 32
Vasco
1-0
Botafogo
Henrique (29')
Medel (61'), Paulinho (80')

Marcal (45+4'), da Silva (56'), Costa (61'), Tiquinho (79')
Jul 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Botafogo
2-0
Vasco
Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')
Adryelson (41'), Segovia (89')

Pele (19'), Bambu (19'), Orellano (60'), Rayan (86'), Piton (88')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
3-0
Botafogo
Magno (22'), Andrey (78'), Pikachu (90+6' pen.)
Pikachu (90+8')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Fourth Stage
Vasco
0-0
Botafogo
Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')
Sep 17, 2020 11pm
Fourth Stage
Botafogo
1-0
Vasco
Babi (68')
Babi (26'), Honda (77')

Magno (40')