Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Corinthians

Cruzeiro
3 - 0
Corinthians

Pereira (6'), Barreal (45+5'), Veron (48')
Ivaldo (27'), Silva (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Garro (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last Game: Criciuma 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 Vitoria
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawCorinthians
58.1% (-0.052 -0.05)23.67% (0.023 0.02)18.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)52.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.044 -0.04)74.4% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)17.93% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)48.75% (0.064 0.06)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.26% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 58.09%
    Corinthians 18.23%
    Draw 23.66%
CruzeiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Corinthians

Cruzeiro
72.5%
Draw
17.5%
Corinthians
10.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 1am
Gameweek 20
Cruzeiro
1-1
Corinthians
Elias (45')
Arthur (25'), Silva (67'), Jussa (77')
Silva (90+8')
Caetano (45+4'), Moscardo (49'), Biro (54')
Apr 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Corinthians
2-1
Cruzeiro
Araujo (68'), Guedes (87')
Oliveira (90+5')
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 27
Corinthians
1-2
Cruzeiro
Fagner (34')
Mendez (37'), Fagner (76'), Love (91')
Fred (38' pen.), Lourenco (71')
Lourenco (21')
Jun 8, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 8
Cruzeiro
0-0
Corinthians
Robinho (70')
Marllon (85')
Nov 14, 2018 11.45pm
Gameweek 34
Cruzeiro
1-0
Corinthians
David (14')
Robinho (68'), Fred (94')

Douglas (45'), Romero (94')
Douglas (45')