Brasileiro | Gameweek 14

Jul 5, 2024 at 12am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
3 - 2
Vitoria

Garro (26', 26', 43', 43'), Giovane (90+5', 90+5')
Coronado (20'), Coronado (20'), Alberto (45+7'), Alberto (45+7'), Caca (59'), Caca (59'), Henrique (73'), Henrique (73')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Alerrandro (37', 37', 86' pen., 86' pen.)
Vinicius (86'), Dudu (88'), Dudu (88'), Dudu (90'), Leonardo (90'), Dudu (90'), Leonardo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Vitoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Tuesday, July 2 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Vitoria

All competitions

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Vitoria
57.31% ( -0.46)	23.56% ( 0.04)	19.13% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

0.42)

51.13% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.36)

72.98% (

-0.36)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

-0.02)

17.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79% (

-0.03)

48.21% (

0.03)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

0.72)

40.97% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.48% (

0.64)

77.52% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 57.3%

Vitoria 19.13%

Draw 23.55%

Corinthians	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.13%