Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Cruzeiro
30.33% ( 0.42)	27.5% ( 0.34)	42.17% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65% (

-1.1)

57.35% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.83% (

-0.88)

78.17% (

0.88)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.26)

34.27% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.28)

70.97% (

0.28)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0.91)

26.85% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

-1.21)

62.16% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 30.33%

Cruzeiro 42.17%

Draw 27.49%

Criciuma	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.33%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 42.17%