Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Fluminense
35.72% ( 0.27)	26.45% ( -0.01)	37.83% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

0.04)

52.13% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

0.04)

73.85% (

-0.04)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

0.18)

28.03% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

0.23)

63.68% (

-0.23)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.13)

26.8% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91% (

-0.17)

62.09% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 35.72%

Fluminense 37.83%

Draw 26.45%

Criciuma	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.72%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.83%