Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Criciuma
49.05% ( 0.01)	25.9% ( -0)	25.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0)

54.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0)

75.59% (

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

22.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

55.48% (

-0.01)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17% (

-0.01)

36.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38% (

-0.01)

73.61% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 49.05%

Criciuma 25.05%

Draw 25.89%

Vitoria	Draw	Criciuma
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.05%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.05%