Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Alerrandro 31' goal
  • Lucas Esteves 37' goal
  • Matheuzinho 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walisson 41'
  • yellowcard Claudio Tencati 42'
  • goal Matheusinho 43'
  • yellowcard Barreto 51'

Vitoria vs Criciuma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Jul 5, 2024 12.00am
Corinthians 3 - 2 Vitoria
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alerrandro

Criciuma

All competitions
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 12.00am
Criciuma 1 - 0 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Yannick Bolasie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.

Result

Vitoria 49.05% (+0.01)
Draw 25.9% (-0.01)
Criciuma 25.05% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.2% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 54.18%
Over 3.5 24.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.59% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.99% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.01%

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 77.88% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.48% (-0.01)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5 63.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 26.38% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.61% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Vitoria 49.05%
Draw 25.89%
Criciuma 25.05%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-0 @ 9.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.89%
Criciuma
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.05%