Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Fluminense

Martin Lucero (56')
Pochettino (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elias Nogueira (74'), Cano (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Fluminense

All competitions

Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
55.03% ( -1.95)	24.2% ( 0.15)	20.77% ( 1.79)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

2.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

1.58)

51.62% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

1.36)

73.41% (

-1.36)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.14)

18.65% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

-0.23)

49.97% (

0.23)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

2.87)

39.48% (

-2.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

2.57)

76.17% (

-2.57)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 55.02%

Fluminense 20.77%

Draw 24.2%

Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.86) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.02%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.77%