Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Sao Paulo

Juventude
0 - 0
Sao Paulo

Erick (74')
Jadson (28'), Sam (35'), Lucas (51'), Lucas (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Franco (12'), Luciano (23'), Zubeldia (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawSao Paulo
28.91% (0.164 0.16)27.38% (0.073 0.07)43.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-0.197 -0.2)57.45% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-0.158 -0.16)78.26% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)35.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.17% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.212 -0.21)26.09% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.286 -0.29)61.15% (0.284 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 28.91%
    Sao Paulo 43.7%
    Draw 27.37%
JuventudeDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.91%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.7%

How you voted: Juventude vs Sao Paulo

Juventude
12.0%
Draw
40.0%
Sao Paulo
48.0%
25
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