Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 18, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Gremio

Moura (10', 10')
Vinicius (38'), Vinicius (38'), Moura (41'), Moura (41'), Zubeldia (42'), Zubeldia (42'), Pires (78'), Pires (78'), Ribeiro (90+1'), Welington (90+13'), Ribeiro (90+1'), Welington (90+13')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pepe (23'), Pepe (23'), Villasanti (31'), Villasanti (31'), Pires (80'), Pires (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Gremio

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Operario PR
Sunday, July 14 at 3pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Gremio
56.82% ( 0.89)	24.66% ( -0.48)	18.52% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 44.56% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.96% (

1.16)

56.04% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.88% (

0.93)

77.12% (

-0.93)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35% (

0.81)

19.65% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.38% (

1.3)

51.62% (

-1.3)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.46% (

0.19)

44.54% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.43% (

0.15)

80.57% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 56.81%

Gremio 18.52%

Draw 24.65%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.81%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.52%