Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Cruzeiro
40.89% ( -0.04)	27.41% ( 0.01)	31.7% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-0.03)

56.59% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-0.02)

77.57% (

0.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0.04)

27.18% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0.05)

62.59% (

0.05)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

0.01)

32.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

0.01)

69.46% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gremio 40.89%

Cruzeiro 31.7%

Draw 27.41%

Gremio	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.7%