Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2024 at 12am UK
Arena Corinthians
Gremio

Corinthians
2 - 2
Gremio

Alberto (25' pen., 25' pen.), Garro (87', 87')
Caca (40'), Caca (40')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ely (2', 2'), Villasanti (76', 76')
Geromel (31'), Geromel (31'), Ely (34'), Ely (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Vitoria
Sunday, July 21 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawGremio
49.27% (0.378 0.38)25.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.07% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 49.94% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.196 -0.2)53.22% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.166 -0.17)74.78% (0.166 0.17)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (0.085000000000008 0.09)21.62% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (0.129 0.13)54.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.42 -0.42)36.28% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.428 -0.43)73.06% (0.42699999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 49.27%
    Gremio 25.07%
    Draw 25.65%
CorinthiansDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Gremio

Corinthians
80.5%
Draw
7.3%
Gremio
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians

Villasanti (45+1'), Suarez (90+7')
Alves (81')
Romero (32')
Caetano (15'), Menezes (18'), Maycon (42'), Romero (48'), Verissimo (74'), Fagner (90+5'), Ruan (90+9')
Mendez (10')
Sep 19, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Corinthians
4-4
Gremio
Santos (45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4'), Alberto (45+6'), Giuliano (67')
Santos (40')
Nathan (21'), Cristaldo (27'), Galdino (51'), Suarez (58')
Kannemann (54')
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
1-1
Gremio
Augusto (86')
Guedes (45+1')
Souza (39')
Kannemann (11'), Rafinha (15'), Geromel (45+1')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians
Souza (82')
Ramos (89'), Victor (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
0-0
Gremio
Cantillo (14'), Otero (42')
Marllon (30'), Otero (66')
Mendes (17')