/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
-
Felipe Carballo
45'+1'
-
Yeferson Soteldo
63'
-
Reinaldo
90'+6'
-
Lucas Willians Assis Arcanjo
17'
-
Leo Naldi
23'
-
Janderson
35'
-
Lawan Kennyd Gabriel Santos
52'
-
Willian Oliveira
60'
-
Thiago Carpini
71'
-
Lucas Esteves
90'+2'
-
Reynaldo
90'+5'
Gremio vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result
Gremio
56.3%
▲
(+0.58)
Draw
23.39%
▼
(-0.40)
Vitoria
20.3%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
50.96%
▲
(+0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.02%
▲
(+1.37)
Under 2.5
48.97%
▼
(-1.37)
Over 3.5
28.94%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 3.5
71.05%
▼
(-1.23)
Over 4.5
13.94%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 4.5
86.05%
▼
(-0.83)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
82.79%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 0.5
17.2%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 1.5
52.52%
▲
(+1.24)
Under 1.5
47.48%
▼
(-1.24)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
61.54%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 0.5
38.45%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 1.5
24.79%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 1.5
75.2%
▼
(-0.56)
Score analysis
Gremio
56.29%
Draw
23.39%
Vitoria
20.3%
Gremio
1-0
@
11.64%
▼
(-0.38)
2-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.29%
2-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.12%
▼
(-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.39%
0-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.39%
Vitoria
0-1
@
6.32%
▼
(-0.26)
1-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 20.3%