Brasileiro
Gameweek
17
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-
Breno Lopes
25'
-
Breno Lopes
25'
-
Hercules
36'
-
Hercules
36'
-
Tomas Pochettino
39'
-
Tomas Pochettino
39'
-
Juan Martin Lucero
49'
-
Juan Martin Lucero
49'
-
Emanuel Britez
45'+6'
-
Emanuel Britez
45'+6'
-
Tinga
55'
-
Tinga
55'
-
Titi
63'
-
Titi
63'
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Luan
21'
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Luan
21'
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Janderson
35'
-
Janderson
35'
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Daniel Junior
60'
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Daniel Junior
60'
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Jose Hugo
90'
-
Jose Hugo
90'
Fortaleza vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
Result
Fortaleza
64.26%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
21.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Vitoria
14.19%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
44.63%
▲
(+0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.88%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
51.12%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
27.02%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
72.97%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
12.66%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
87.33%
▼
(-0.11)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
84.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
15.24%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
56.08%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
43.92%
▼
(-0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
52.66%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
47.34%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
17.26%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
82.74%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Fortaleza
64.25%
Draw
21.55%
Vitoria
14.19%
Fortaleza
1-0
@
13.57%
▼
(-0.09)
2-0 @ 12.76% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 64.25%
2-0 @ 12.76% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 64.25%
Draw
1-1
@
10.15%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.55%
0-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.55%
Vitoria
0-1
@
5.4%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 14.19%
1-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 14.19%