Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.