Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 12, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 2
Fortaleza

Pedro (39' pen., 39' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (57'), Rodrigues de Souza (57')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Wesley (11' og., 11' og.), Martin Lucero (63', 63')
Cardona (38'), Cardona (38'), Pablo Vojvoda (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
66.51% ( 0.85)	20.15% ( -0.41)	13.34% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

0.74)

47.19% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

0.69)

69.42% (

-0.69)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7% (

0.48)

13.29% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.88% (

0.97)

40.12% (

-0.97)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.78% (

-0.23)

46.22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.11% (

-0.18)

81.89% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 66.49%

Fortaleza 13.34%

Draw 20.15%

Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.49%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.15%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.34%