Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • William 45' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 69' yellowcard
  • Joao Marcelo 73' yellowcard
  • William 77' yellowcard
  • Juan Dinenno 86' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Inocencio 44'
  • yellowcard Ze Marcos 63'
  • yellowcard Joao Lucas 72'
  • yellowcard Nene 87'
  • redcard Ze Marcos 90'+6'

Cruzeiro vs Juventude - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2024 1.00am
Palmeiras 2 - 0 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Juventude

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2024 10.30pm
Juventude 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Lucas Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result

Cruzeiro 61.81% (+0.06)
Draw 21.96% (+0.09)
Juventude 16.23% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.02% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.91% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 49.09% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 28.83% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 71.16% (+0.56)
Over 4.5 13.87% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 86.12% (+0.38)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 84.64% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 15.36% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 55.87% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 44.13% (+0.36)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5 56.73% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 43.27% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 20.48% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 79.52% (+0.47)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 61.81%
Draw 21.96%
Juventude 16.23%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.45% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 11.66% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.28% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 61.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.65% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.96%
Juventude
0-1 @ 5.57% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.23%