Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Juventude
61.81% ( 0.05)	21.96% ( 0.09)	16.23% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.91% (

-0.61)

49.09% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

-0.56)

71.16% (

0.56)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.64% (

-0.19)

15.36% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.87% (

-0.35)

44.13% (

0.35)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.73% (

-0.55)

43.27% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.48% (

-0.47)

79.52% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 61.81%

Juventude 16.23%

Draw 21.96%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Juventude
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 61.81%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.23%