Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cruzeiro.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Bragantino
49.7% ( -0.42)	25.63% ( 0.05)	24.67% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

0.11)

53.44% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

0.09)

74.97% (

-0.09)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-0.14)

21.53% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

-0.21)

54.59% (

0.22)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

0.39)

36.76% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.45% (

0.39)

73.54% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 49.7%

Bragantino 24.67%

Draw 25.63%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.7%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.67%