Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 13, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Gabriel Veron 8' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 40' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis 77' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 84' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 45'
  • yellowcard Eric Ramires 45'+2'
  • goal Thiago Borbas 90'+5'

Cruzeiro vs Bragantino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 10, 2024 10.30pm
Gremio 0 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Bragantino

All competitions
Last game
Jul 7, 2024 12.00am
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Bragantino
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Helinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cruzeiro.

Result

Cruzeiro 49.7% (-0.42)
Draw 25.63% (+0.05)
Bragantino 24.67% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.56% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 53.44% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.03% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.97% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 11.38% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.62% (-0.06)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 78.47% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 21.53% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 45.41% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 54.59% (+0.22)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5 63.24% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 36.76% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 26.45% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 73.54% (-0.39)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 49.7%
Draw 25.63%
Bragantino 24.67%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.63%
Bragantino
0-1 @ 7.92% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.09% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.96% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Rafael Elias 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Borbas 14'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 41'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 76'
  • yellowcard Alerrandro 87'
  • yellowcard Juninho Capixaba 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 10.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
  • goal Ramiro 1'
  • goal Gilberto 64'
  • goal Bruno Rodrigues 87'