Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
Cruzeiro

Palmeiras
2 - 0
Cruzeiro

Manuel Lopez (36', 36'), Menino (90+2', 90+2')
Ferreira (45+2'), Ferreira (45+2'), Manuel Lopez (59'), Manuel Lopez (59'), Veiga (61'), Veiga (61'), Rafael (69'), Rafael (69'), Mauricio (76'), Mauricio (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barreal (38'), Barreal (38'), Romero (45+5'), Romero (45+5'), Pereira (69'), Pereira (69'), Marcelo (90+3'), Marcelo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCruzeiro
58.9% (0.316 0.32)23.13% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)17.97% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.89% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.127 0.13)17.03% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.82% (0.226 0.23)47.18% (-0.225 -0.23)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72% (-0.237 -0.24)42.28% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32% (-0.206 -0.21)78.68% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 58.9%
    Cruzeiro 17.97%
    Draw 23.13%
PalmeirasDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro

Palmeiras
78.3%
Draw
21.7%
Cruzeiro
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Cruzeiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Nikao (80')
Silva (72')
Endrick (21')
Rios (64')
Aug 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 19
Palmeiras
1-0
Cruzeiro
Manuel Lopez (90+6')
Gomez (35'), Vanderlan (90')

Jussa (64'), Gilberto (81'), Palacios (90+5')
Dec 8, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 38
Cruzeiro
0-2
Palmeiras
Rafael (58'), Dudu (84')
Rafael (58')
Sep 14, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 19
Palmeiras
1-0
Cruzeiro
Henrique (45')
Melo (69'), Dudu (74')

Gabriel (50'), Santos (54'), Lourenco (87')
Sep 30, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 27
Palmeiras
3-1
Cruzeiro
Lima (23'), Hyoran (42'), Gomez (66' pen.)
Gomez (30'), Melo (37'), Lima (73'), Moises (94'), Deyverson (94')
Mancuello (31' pen.)
Mancuello (19'), Ezequiel (69'), Hermes (82'), Fred (83'), Leo (88'), Manoel (91')
rhs 2.0


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