Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
Bahia

Palmeiras
2 - 0
Bahia

Willian (45+3'), Rony (61')
Rony (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kanu (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBahia
65.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.98%14.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)12.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.47%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 65.79%
    Bahia 14.23%
    Draw 19.98%
PalmeirasDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.68%
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 6.75%
4-0 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.83%
5-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 65.79%
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.98%
0-1 @ 4.6%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.23%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bahia

Palmeiras
75.9%
Draw
24.1%
Bahia
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 30
Palmeiras
1-0
Bahia
Veiga (38')
Fabinho (50')

Acevedo (9'), Kanu (45+3'), Stum (77')
Acevedo (90')
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Bahia
1-0
Palmeiras
Thaciano (90+3')
Mingotti (14'), Ademir (44'), Kayky (75'), Stum (90+7')

Endrick (9'), Menino (74'), Lopes (87')
Oct 13, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Bahia
0-0
Palmeiras
Pablo Ramirez (42'), Danielzinho (65'), Cesar (85'), Mugni (90')
Jun 28, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Palmeiras
3-2
Bahia
Dec 12, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 25
Palmeiras
3-0
Bahia
Willian (6'), Veiga (36' pen.), Rony (43')
Empereur (64'), Rocha (79')

Pablo Ramirez (64'), Clayson (66'), Gregore (78')