Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.