Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • 40' goal
  • Estevao Willian 45'+3' goal
  • Rony 61' goal
  • Rony 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanu 19'

Palmeiras vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 11.00pm
Gremio 2 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Estevao Willian

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 11.00pm
Bahia 2 - 0 Juventude
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Everaldo Stum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result

Palmeiras 65.79% (+0.01)
Draw 19.98%
Bahia 14.23% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.58% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.49% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.12% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.88% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.88% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.12% (+0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 87.31% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.69%
Over 1.5 61.12% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.88% (+0.01)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 56.78% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.22% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.47%

Score analysis

Palmeiras 65.79%
Draw 19.98%
Bahia 14.23%
Palmeiras
2-0 @ 11.68%
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 6.75%
4-0 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.83%
5-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 65.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.98%
Bahia
0-1 @ 4.6%
1-2 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.23%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 28, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Raphael Veiga 38' goal
  • Fabinho 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 9'
  • yellowcard Kanu 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 77'
  • redcard Nicolas Acevedo 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Thaciano 90'+3' goal
  • Thaciano 90'+3' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 13, 2021 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Pablo Ramirez 42' yellowcard
  • Danielzinho 64' yellowcard
  • Danielzinho 65' yellowcard
  • Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos 84' yellowcard
  • Ronaldo Cesar 85' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mugni 89' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mugni 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rony 67'
  • redcard Wesley 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 28, 2021 12.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gustavo Scarpa 7' goal
  • Danilo 11' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Kuscevic 70' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 78' goal
  • Breno Lopes 90'+2' goal
  • Breno Lopes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Otavio 12'
  • yellowcard Rossi 16'
  • yellowcard Matheus Bahia 56'
  • yellowcard Patrick de Lucca 67'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 69'
  • goal Maycon Douglas 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Dec 12, 2020 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Willian 6' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 36' goal
  • Rony 43' goal
  • Alan Empereur 64' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Ramirez 64'
  • yellowcard Clayson 66'
  • yellowcard Gregore 78'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2020 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Gregore 11' yellowcard
  • Rossi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marco Antonio 90'+6' goal
  • goal Ze Rafael 77'
  • yellowcard Ramires 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Wesley 90'+3'