Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Palmeiras

Botafogo
1 - 0
Palmeiras

Tiquinho (56', 56')
Barboza (4'), Barboza (4'), Suarez (73'), Suarez (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawPalmeiras
33.75% (0.195 0.2)28.31% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)37.95% (-0.175 -0.17)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.5% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15% (0.067 0.07)79.85% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.17700000000001 0.18)32.97% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.196 0.2)69.56% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.29% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.46% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 33.74%
    Palmeiras 37.94%
    Draw 28.3%
BotafogoDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 11.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.94%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Palmeiras

Botafogo
40.0%
Draw
36.7%
Palmeiras
23.3%
30
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Botafogo
3-4
Palmeiras
Eduardo (21'), Tche (30'), Santos (36')
Flavio (0'), Cuesta (33'), Tiquinho (69'), Tche (80'), Marcal (83'), Freitas (90+7'), Di Placido (90+9')
Adryelson (76')
Endrick (49', 84'), Manuel Lopez (89'), Cerqueira (90+9')
Mayke (11'), Rony (80'), Gomez (80'), Artur (87'), Cerqueira (90+10')
Jun 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Palmeiras
0-1
Botafogo

Ferreira (45+7')
Tiquinho (28')
Tche (31'), da Silva (61'), Nascimento (90+5')
Oct 4, 2022 12am
Gameweek 29
Botafogo
1-3
Palmeiras
Tiquinho (20')
Scarpa (26' pen.), Mayke (36'), Dudu (60')
Jun 9, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 10
Palmeiras
4-0
Botafogo
Rony (11', 33'), Scarpa (18'), Wesley (87')
Piquerez (79')

Saravia (32')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Palmeiras
1-1
Botafogo
Santos (16')
Lopes (32'), Empereur (71')
Navarro (60')
Welison (23')