Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.