Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena MRV
Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Corinthians

Hulk (32' pen., 85' pen.)
Fuchs (24'), Santana (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alberto (39')
Souza (82'), Lyanco (90+3'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
56.05% (-0.569 -0.57)23.98% (0.18 0.18)19.97% (0.39 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.222 -0.22)51.75% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.194 -0.19)73.52% (0.193 0.19)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-0.294 -0.29)18.31% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-0.503 -0.5)49.4% (0.501 0.5)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (0.297 0.3)40.4% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (0.266 0.27)77.02% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 56.05%
    Corinthians 19.97%
    Draw 23.98%
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.075 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Corinthians
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Corinthians
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Oliveira (0'), Miguel (2'), Romero (28'), Fagner (31'), Raniele (32'), Alberto (45+6'), Matheuzinho (82'), Hugo (90+1'), Maycon (90+10')
Oliveira (0')
Battaglia (1'), Jemerson (22'), Hulk (51'), Everson (64'), Saravia (68')
Battaglia (45+4')
Nov 9, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 33
Corinthians
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Romero (23')
Santos (88')
Paulinho (67')
Everson (19'), Jemerson (22'), Pedrinho (70'), Rabello (85')
Jul 8, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico Mineiro
0-1
Corinthians

Mariano (43'), Jemerson (50'), Battaglia (61')
Guedes (40')
Murillo (68'), Guedes (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
2-0
Atletico Mineiro
(Aggregate 0-0 | Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties)
Bidu (34'), Guedes (65')
Bidu (38')

Paulinho (35'), Rubens (57'), Hulk (70'), Everson (99')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Corinthians
0-1
Atletico Mineiro
Vargas (45' pen.)