Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Atletico Mineiro
Jul 28, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena MRV
Corinthians
  • Bruno Fuchs 24' yellowcard
  • Hulk 32' goal
  • Hulk 85' goal
  • Alex Santana 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Yuri Alberto 39'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 82'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 90'+5'

Atletico Mineiro vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Paulinho

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 12.00am
Corinthians 2 - 2 Gremio
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 56.05% ▼ (-0.57)
Draw 23.98% ▲ (+0.19)
Corinthians 19.97% ▲ (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.68% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.25% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 51.75% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 26.48% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 73.52% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 4.5 12.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 87.69% ▲ (+0.13)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 81.69% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 18.31% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 50.6% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 49.4% ▲ (+0.51)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 59.59% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 0.5 40.4% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 1.5 22.98% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 77.02% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 56.05%
Draw 23.98%
Corinthians 19.97%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.98%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.97%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Corinthians
Apr 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
  • Antonio Oliveira 0' yellowcard
  • Antonio Oliveira 0' redcard
  • Carlos Miguel 2' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 28' yellowcard
  • Fagner 31' yellowcard
  • Raniele 32' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 82' yellowcard
  • Hugo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Maycon 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 1'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 22'
  • redcard Rodrigo Battaglia 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Hulk 51'
  • yellowcard Everson 64'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Corinthians
Nov 9, 2023 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
  • Angel Romero 23' goal
  • Fabio Santos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everson 19'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 22'
  • goal Paulinho 67'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 70'
  • yellowcard Igor Rabello 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Atletico Mineiro
Jul 8, 2023 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Corinthians
  • goal Roger Guedes 40'
Copa do Brasil
Corinthians
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
ET Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Atletico Mineiro
  • Matheus Bidu 34' goal
  • Matheus Bidu 34' goal
  • Roger Guedes 65' goal
  • Roger Guedes 65' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Corinthians
Nov 13, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico Mineiro
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 45'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Atletico Mineiro
Jul 24, 2022 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Corinthians
  • Keno 9' goal
  • Ignacio Fernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 45'+1'
  • goal Fabio Santos 80'
  • goal Fabio Santos 86'

Form Data

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 0 Vasco
Juventude 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Botafogo 3 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 4 Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Atletico GO
Corinthians 2 - 2 Gremio
Bahia 0 - 1 Corinthians
Corinthians 2 - 1 Criciuma
Vasco 2 - 0 Corinthians
Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Corinthians
Corinthians 3 - 2 Vitoria