Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Hulk 27' goal
  • Hulk 39' goal
  • Junior Alonso 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 23'

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2024 11.00pm
Juventude 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Paulinho

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 17, 2024 11.00pm
Atletico GO 0 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 51.69% (-0.06)
Draw 24.61% (-0.02)
Vasco da Gama 23.69% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.73% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 50.26% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 27.78% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.21% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.16% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.83% (-0.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 80.57% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.43% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.26% (-0.04)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 64.12% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 35.88% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 27.34% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 72.66% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 51.69%
Draw 24.61%
Vasco da Gama 23.69%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.61%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.69%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Serginho 5' goal
  • Paulinho 44' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 54' yellowcard
  • Serginho 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Dias 79' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 89' yellowcard
  • Leo Pele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 61'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 65'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Mauricio Lemos 45'+5' goal
  • goal Andrey Santos 5'
  • goal Gabriel Pec 10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Jan 24, 2021 12.00am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Leo Matos 14' yellowcard
  • German Cano 18' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 32' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 42' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 58' yellowcard
  • German Cano 59' goal
  • Caio Lopes da Costa Schoell 89' yellowcard
  • Caio Lopes 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jair 62'
  • goal Hyoran 68'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2020 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Guilherme Arana 14' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 18' goal
  • Guga 29' goal
  • Keno 37' goal
  • Dylan Felipe Borrero Caicedo 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 72' yellowcard
  • Allan Rodrigues de Souza 77' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey 6'
  • goal Martin Benitez 8'
  • yellowcard Leandro Castan 39'
  • redcard Andrey 61'
  • yellowcard Martin Benitez 78'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Oct 2, 2019 11.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
  • Juan Cazares 39' yellowcard
  • Nathan 53' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 60' goal
  • Patric 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey 5'
  • goal Rossi 67'
  • yellowcard Raul 76'
  • goal Marcos Junior 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
May 2, 2019 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Maxi Lopez 66' goal
  • goal Elias 59'
  • goal Yimmi Chara 90'