Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
2 - 2
Botafogo

(Botafogo win 4-3 on aggregate)

Manuel Lopez (86', 86', 86'), Rony (90', 90', 90')
Rios (35'), Rios (35'), Rios (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jesus (56', 56', 56'), Savarino (64', 64', 64')
Barboza (35'), Barboza (35'), Barboza (35'), Gregore (45+3'), Gregore (45+3'), Gregore (45+3'), John (81'), John (81'), John (81'), Ponte (89'), Ponte (89'), Ponte (89'), Tche (90+10'), Tche (90+10'), Tche (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Botafogo
54.07% ( -0.9)	25.06% ( 0.46)	20.87% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.19% (

-1.22)

54.81% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89% (

-1.02)

76.11% (

1.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

-0.83)

20.26% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.4% (

-1.35)

52.6% (

1.36)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.8% (

-0.23)

41.21% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.26% (

-0.2)

77.74% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 54.07%

Botafogo 20.87%

Draw 25.06%

Palmeiras	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.07%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.87%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Palmeiras

74.4%

Draw

15.4%

Botafogo

10.3%

Head to Head

Aug 15, 2024 1.30am

Round of 16 1st Leg

Botafogo

2-1

Palmeiras

Henrique (22'), Jesus (39')
Jesus (49'), Cuiabano (64'), Tiquinho (90')

Mauricio (33')
Manuel Lopez (29'), Veiga (37'), Ferreira (65'), Willian (90')

> Preview

Jul 18, 2024 1.30am

Gameweek 17

Botafogo

1-0

Palmeiras

Tiquinho (56')
Barboza (4'), Suarez (73')

> Preview

Nov 2, 2023 12.30am

Gameweek 31

Botafogo

3-4

Palmeiras

Eduardo (21'), Tche (30'), Santos (36')
Flavio (0'), Cuesta (33'), Tiquinho (69'), Tche (80'), Marcal (83'), Freitas (90+7'), Di Placido (90+9')
Adryelson (76')

Endrick (49', 84'), Manuel Lopez (89'), Cerqueira (90+9')
Mayke (11'), Rony (80'), Gomez (80'), Artur (87'), Cerqueira (90+10')

Jun 25, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 12

Palmeiras

0-1

Botafogo

Ferreira (45+7')

Tiquinho (28')
Tche (31'), da Silva (61'), Nascimento (90+5')

> Preview

Oct 4, 2022 12am

Gameweek 29

Botafogo