Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 1, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 0
Palmeiras

Pedro (57', 57'), Araujo (72', 72')
Pulgar (32'), Pulgar (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Veiga (34'), Veiga (34'), Gomez (42'), Gomez (42'), de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (80'), de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (80'), Lazaro (82'), Lazaro (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Flamengo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Vitoria
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Palmeiras
48.17% ( -0.02)	26.45% ( 0)	25.38% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.93% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.02% (

55.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92% (

77.08% (

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-0.01)

23.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-0.01)

57.2% (

0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47% (

0.02)

37.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69% (

0.02)

74.31% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 48.17%

Palmeiras 25.38%

Draw 26.44%

Flamengo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.17%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.38%