Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 9.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.