/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fpallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fflalog.png)
-
Abel Ferreira
0'
-
Abel Ferreira
0'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
7'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
7'
-
Tite
46'
-
Tite
46'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
45'+2'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
45'+2'
-
Pedro
62'
-
Pedro
62'
-
David Luiz
77'
-
David Luiz
77'
Palmeiras vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F30%2Frichard-rios.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
Result
Palmeiras
44.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
25.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Flamengo
30.36%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
54.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
49.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
28.5%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
71.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
13.65%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
86.35%
▼
(-0.05)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5
77.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
44.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
55.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
69.82%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
30.17%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
33.67%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
66.33%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Palmeiras
44.13%
Draw
25.49%
Flamengo
30.36%
Palmeiras
1-0
@
10.1%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.13%
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.13%
Draw
1-1
@
12.1%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
Flamengo
0-1
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.36%
1-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.36%
Head to Head
Copa do Brasil
-
Erick Pulgar
32'
-
Erick Pulgar
32'
-
Pedro
57'
-
Pedro
57'
-
Luiz Araujo
72'
-
Luiz Araujo
72'
-
Raphael Veiga
34'
-
Raphael Veiga
34'
-
Gustavo Gomez
42'
-
Gustavo Gomez
42'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
80'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
80'
-
Lazaro
82'
-
Lazaro
82'