Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Flamengo
18.66% ( -0)	22.95% ( 0)	58.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-0.02)

49.35% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

-0.02)

71.4% (

0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

-0.02)

40.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

-0.02)

77.07% (

0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

-0.01)

16.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

-0.02)

46.41% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 18.66%

Flamengo 58.39%

Draw 22.95%

Vitoria	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.66%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.97% Total : 58.39%