Brasileiro
Gameweek
19
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-
Lucas Esteves
58'
-
Lucas Esteves
58'
-
Everaldo
75'
-
Everaldo
75'
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
39'
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
39'
-
Luiz Araujo
79'
-
Luiz Araujo
79'
-
Carlos Moises de Lima
90'
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Carlos Moises de Lima
90'
Vitoria vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
Result
Vitoria
18.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
22.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Flamengo
58.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
49.65%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
49.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
28.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
71.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
13.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
86.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
59.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
40.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
22.93%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
77.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
83.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
16.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
53.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
46.41%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Vitoria
18.66%
Draw
22.95%
Flamengo
58.39%
Vitoria
1-0
@
6.08%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.75%
3-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.66%
2-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.75%
3-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.66%
Draw
1-1
@
10.91%
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.95%
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.95%
Flamengo
0-1
@
12.06%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.39%
0-2 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.39%
Everton Ribeiro
10'