Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 15.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.