Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
Bahia

Atletico GO
1 - 1
Bahia

Fernando (60', 60')
Freitas (35'), Freitas (35'), Cruz (45+3'), Cruz (45+3'), Vinicius (82'), Vinicius (82'), Ananias Silva (88'), Ananias Silva (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lucas (90+9', 90+9')
Stum (37'), Stum (37'), Cuesta (39'), Cuesta (39'), Rezende (76'), Rezende (76'), Lucas (90+11'), Lucas (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Goianiense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawBahia
48.39% (-0.197 -0.2)25.04% (0.073 0.07)26.56% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.135 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.226 -0.23)49.7% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.204 -0.2)71.72% (0.199 0.2)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.175 -0.17)20.56% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.277 -0.28)53.09% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.14% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (-0.029 -0.03)69.74% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 48.38%
    Bahia 26.56%
    Draw 25.04%
Atletico GoianienseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.063 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.56%

How you voted: Atletico GO vs Bahia

Atletico Goianiense
28.6%
Draw
19.0%
Bahia
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico GO
2-1
Bahia
Freitas (60' pen.), Janderson (90+5')
Eder (81'), Freitas (83'), Baralhas (89'), Toro (90+5'), Janderson (90+5')
Rodallega (71')
Mugni (54'), de Lucca (78'), Capixaba (83')
Capixaba (90+7')
Aug 15, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 16
Bahia
1-2
Atletico GO
Gilberto (26')
Danielzinho (54'), Conti (85')
Roberto (55'), Paulo (61')
Jan 10, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico GO
1-1
Bahia
Pereira (7')
Pereira (18'), Nicolas (90+4')
Novaes (75')
Sep 13, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
0-1
Atletico GO

Danielzinho (82'), Rossi (90+1')
Juninho (90+1')
Jean (40')
Victor (27'), Hyuri (88')