Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Bahia
60.04% ( 1.31)	21.66% ( -0.69)	18.31% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

2.06)

44.41% (

-2.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

1.97)

66.79% (

-1.96)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.62% (

1.11)

14.38% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.74% (

2.11)

42.26% (

-2.11)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.03% (

0.52)

37.97% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.26% (

0.5)

74.74% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 60.02%

Bahia 18.31%

Draw 21.66%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.02%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.31%