Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.