Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2024 10.30pm
Juventude 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lucas Moura

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 10.30pm
Botafogo 1 - 0 Internacional
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jefferson Savarino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Sao Paulo 47.82% (-0.04)
Draw 27.36% (+0.02)
Botafogo 24.83% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.98% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.45% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.11% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 79.89% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 8.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.6% (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 75% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.66% (+0.05)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 59.98% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.02% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.33% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.67% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 47.81%
Draw 27.35%
Botafogo 24.83%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.86%
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 47.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.35%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 9.16% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 24.83%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 50' yellowcard
  • Welington 53' yellowcard
  • Diego 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Di Placido 2'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 61'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Tiquinho 4' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 88' goal
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Tiquinho 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 16, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick de Paula 35' yellowcard
  • Kanu 38' yellowcard
  • Renzo Saravia 51' yellowcard
  • Kayque 61' goal
  • Joel Carli 71' yellowcard
  • Kayque 76' yellowcard
  • Victor Cuesta 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 56'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 65'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Feb 22, 2021 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafael Navarro 38' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 50' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 58' goal
  • Bruno Nazario 85' yellowcard
  • redcard Reinaldo 29'
  • yellowcard Bruno Alves 65'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 71'
  • yellowcard Pablo 83'
  • yellowcard Marcos Cezar 88'
  • yellowcard Hernanes 88'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2020 12.30am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Brenner 10' goal
  • Brenner 27' goal
  • Reinaldo 45'+3' goal
  • Hernanes 90' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 11'
  • redcard Marcelo 34'
  • yellowcard Rafael Forster 45'+1'