Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.