Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Parque
Sao Paulo

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Manuel Lopez (55', 90+12')
de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (45+1'), Gomez (60'), Rocha (90+2'), Manuel Lopez (90+14')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luciano (72')
Sabino (43'), Luciano (74')
Luciano (90+6'), Nestor (90+15')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawSao Paulo
50.23% (-0.218 -0.22)25.5% (0.104 0.1)24.27% (0.115 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.301 -0.3)53.24% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-0.256 -0.26)74.8% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)21.22% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.336 -0.34)54.11% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)37% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)73.79% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 50.23%
    Sao Paulo 24.27%
    Draw 25.5%
PalmeirasDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.27%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 4
Sao Paulo
0-0
Palmeiras
Diego (29'), Vinicius (43'), Calleri (59'), Araujo (69')
Ferreira (30'), Gomez (40'), Endrick (45'), Cerqueira (59')
Oct 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 29
Palmeiras
5-0
Sao Paulo
Lopes (16', 26'), Piquerez (45+7' pen., 87'), Rocha (84')
Rafael (21'), Endrick (44'), Veiga (45+10')

Beraldo (25'), Rafinha (45+2'), Rato (79')
Rafinha (61')
Jul 14, 2023 12am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
1-2
Sao Paulo
Piquerez (34')
Mayke (42')
Paulista (49'), David (89')
Alisson (7'), Junior (8'), Luciano (23'), Paulista (85'), Luan (88')
> Preview
Jul 5, 2023 11.30pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-0
Palmeiras
Rafinha (82')
Neves (44'), Maia (44'), David (90+3'), Rato (90+4')

Mayke (87'), Gomez (90+2')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sao Paulo
0-2
Palmeiras

David (89'), Maia (90+3'), Rodriguinho (90')
Maia (90+4')
Menino (11'), Endrick (78')
Ferreira (15'), Artur (89')
> Preview