Copa Libertadores
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-
Diego Polenta
13'
-
Mauricio Pereyra
86'
-
Luciano
25'
-
Robert Arboleda
36'
-
Luiz Gustavo
49'
-
Alan Franco
58'
Nacional vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Nacional
28.5%
▲
(+0.26)
Draw
27.12%
▲
(+0.32)
Sao Paulo
44.38%
▼
(-0.57)
Both Teams to Score:
48.25%
▼
(-0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.32%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 2.5
56.68%
▲
(+1.06)
Over 3.5
22.36%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 3.5
77.64%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 4.5
9.73%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 4.5
90.27%
▲
(+0.52)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
64.68%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
35.32%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
27.93%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
72.07%
▲
(+0.38)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
74.6%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 0.5
25.4%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 1.5
39.79%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
60.21%
▲
(+1.05)
Score analysis
Nacional
28.5%
Draw
27.11%
Sao Paulo
44.38%
Nacional
1-0
@
9.34%
▲
(+0.29)
2-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.5%
2-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.5%
Draw
1-1
@
12.79%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.11%
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.11%
Sao Paulo
0-1
@
12.29%
▲
(+0.23)
1-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 44.38%
1-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 44.38%