Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 23, 2024 at 7pm UK

Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
0 - 4
Nacional

Acosta (9'), Assis (14'), Prado (45+13'), Silveira (45+16'), Brasil (45+20'), Nunez (45+3'), Rabino (55'), de Luca Ibargoyen (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pereyra (13'), Sanabria (45+8'), Galeano (49'), Santander (75')
Gonzalez (43'), Bentancourt (45'), Pereyra (45+7'), Polenta (66')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Last Game: Boston River 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, June 17 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Liverpool
Saturday, June 15 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Nacional
23.28% ( 0.99)	26.61% ( 0.03)	50.11% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.88% (

0.7)

58.12% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21% (

0.55)

78.78% (

-0.55)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.33% (

1.38)

40.66% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.75% (

1.21)

77.25% (

-1.22)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

-0.16)

23.31% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

-0.23)

57.26% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 23.28%

Nacional 50.1%

Draw 26.61%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.28%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 13.8% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.1%