Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 15, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Nacional
2 - 1
Liverpool

Bentancourt (3'), Carneiro (79')
Gonzalez (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vergara (87')
Machado (45+1'), Cayetano (71'), Lemos (75'), Vergara (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 3-0 Nacional
Sunday, June 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, June 8 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawLiverpool
65.16% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)19.9% (0.052 0.05)14.93% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.194 0.19)42.74% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.191 0.19)65.14% (-0.193 -0.19)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)12.33% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)38.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.403 0.4)41.14% (-0.405 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.357 0.36)77.68% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 65.15%
    Liverpool 14.93%
    Draw 19.9%
NacionalDrawLiverpool
2-0 @ 11.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 65.15%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 19.9%
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 2% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 14.93%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool
1-1
Nacional
Rodriguez (45+1')
Wasilewsky (53'), Rodriguez Elduayen (68'), Amaro (71')
Ebere (64')
Oliva (9'), Castro (43'), Carneiro (90+5'), Sanabria (90+2')
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Liverpool
0-0
Nacional
Antoni (43'), Pereira (63'), Bentancourt (74'), Samudio (80')
Antoni (74'), Samudio (90+5')
Martinez (40')
Jun 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Liverpool
3-0
Nacional
Bentancourt (8', 64'), Napoli (47')
Samudio (53'), Diaz (90'), Pereira (90+2'), Napoli (90+1')

Rodriguez (32'), Martinez (40'), Rochet (44'), Trezza (52'), Polenta (83'), Noguera (90+5')
Feb 6, 2023 12am
Oct 30, 2022 7pm
Liverpool
1-4
Nacional
Vecino (68' pen.)
Suarez (50', 96'), Gigliotti (107', 113')