Copa Libertadores
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-
Oscar Cardozo
29'
-
Oscar Cardozo
29'
-
Antonio Bareiro
38'
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Antonio Bareiro
38'
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Alejandro Silva
41'
-
Alejandro Silva
41'
-
Angel Cardozo
48'
-
Angel Cardozo
48'
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Miguel Jacquet
70'
-
Miguel Jacquet
70'
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Bautista Merlini
72'
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Bautista Merlini
72'
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Luis Cardozo
83'
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Luis Cardozo
83'
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Franco Romero
13'
-
Franco Romero
13'
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Gaston Gonzalez
40'
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Gaston Gonzalez
40'
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Ruben Bentancourt
72'
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Ruben Bentancourt
72'
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Mauricio Pereyra
73'
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Mauricio Pereyra
73'
Club Libertad vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
Result
Club Libertad
41.65%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
26.41%
▲
(+0.29)
Nacional
31.95%
▼
(-0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
52%
▼
(-1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.37%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 2.5
52.63%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 3.5
25.72%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 3.5
74.28%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 4.5
11.82%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 4.5
88.18%
▲
(+0.72)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5
75.03%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 0.5
24.97%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 1.5
40.38%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
59.62%
▲
(+0.74)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
69.31%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 0.5
30.69%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 1.5
33.06%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 1.5
66.94%
▲
(+1.08)
Score analysis
Club Libertad
41.64%
Draw
26.41%
Nacional
31.95%
Club Libertad
1-0
@
10.63%
▲
(+0.39)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.64%
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.64%
Draw
1-1
@
12.56%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.41%
0-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.41%
Nacional
0-1
@
9.05%
▲
(+0.24)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.95%
1-2 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.95%