Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 8, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
1 - 1
Libertad

Hernandez (31', 35')
Robles (26'), Robles (27'), Galeano (33')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Santa Cruz (43', 50')
Galeano (19'), Villalba (35'), Villalba (44'), Franco (76'), Franco (83')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and Club Libertad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Tachira
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Club Libertad
30.41% ( 0.11)	28.14% ( 0.03)	41.45% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 46.31% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.41% (

-0.08)

59.59% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

-0.06)

79.92% (

0.06)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

0.03)

35.41% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

0.04)

72.17% (

-0.04)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

-0.12)

28.3% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-0.15)

64.02% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Tachira 30.41%

Club Libertad 41.44%

Draw 28.13%

Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.41%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.44%