Copa Libertadores
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 3
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Mathias Espinoza 40' goal
  • Mathias Espinoza 40' goal
  • Bautista Merlini 74' yellowcard
  • Bautista Merlini 74' yellowcard
  • Ivan Ramirez 84' yellowcard
  • Ivan Ramirez 84' yellowcard
  • Luis Cardozo 88' yellowcard
  • Luis Cardozo 88' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Borja 13'
  • goal Pablo Solari 34'
  • goal Pablo Solari 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 59'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 59'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 74'
  • goal Franco Mastantuono 80'
  • goal Franco Mastantuono 80'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 82'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 82'

Club Libertad vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2024 1.00am
Libertad 3 - 0 Tachira

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 12, 2024 1.00am
River Plate 2 - 0 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

Club Libertad 28.24% (-0.10)
Draw 25.58% (-0.04)
River Plate 46.18% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.7% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.16% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.84% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 27.27% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.72% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 12.83% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.17% (-0.04)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 67.57% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.43% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 31.05% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.94% (+0.05)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 77.99% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 22% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 44.68% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 55.32% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Club Libertad 28.24%
Draw 25.57%
River Plate 46.17%
Club Libertad
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.57%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.13% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 46.17%